
Imperative? In April? If the Dbacks dont take two of three from Lincecum, Johnson and Cain, with the back end of their currently Webb-less rotation, they'll find themselves no better than 7 and 11, with 144 games remaining. As mentioned, the first three of those will be against Chicago, arguably the NL's best team. After that, 78 of the final 141 contests (55%) are on the road.
Not too daunting? Baseball's home advantage pales next to that of football or hoops? Plenty recovery time for Arizona? Consider that this corps of young Diamondbacks have consistently struggled on the road since wresting playing time from their 2006 elders. The last two years, comprised of 162 home games and 162 road games, illustrate a stark contrast:
Home 98-64 .604%
Away 74-88 .456%

Given LA's 11-5 start, mostly away from Chavez Ravine, let's conservatively assume the Dbacks need to win 88 games to have much postseason chance. A 7-11 start would require an 81- 63 (.562) finish - with 78 of those on the road. If they win half those remaining road games (39W, 39L), 88 W's still require them to finish 42-24 (.636) in Phoenix. You're asking them to win more (as a % going forward) than the historically fluky 90 win club - who actually got outscored in 2007 - and you're probably asking them to win more both at home and on the road. It's a bad division, once again, but that's not much of a window.

The medium haul doesnt look too comforting either. Starting with Lincecum tonight, the Dbacks play forty games in forty one nights. Lincecum, Johnson and Cain. We need to win two out of three, right now, or the Valley's typically unbearable summer may start a little early this year.
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