Showing posts with label guest columnists. Show all posts
Showing posts with label guest columnists. Show all posts

15 June 2010

Fat American Know It Alls

The Diamondbacks dont stand a ghost of a chance! Not this season and certainly not in Fenway Park!

Fat American know-it-alls favor such deterministic dreck. You hear them everywhere. In each of the largest cities in the land. Gorging on ostentatious pork chops as they predict everyone else's future. Believe me, I monitor such humiliations.

But perhaps one fat American know-it-all can justify talk of ghosts. Bill James tallies "Ghost RBIs", roughly defined as when a batter advances a runner who later scores as a result of that advancement. In other words, when a batter doesnt get credit for the official RBI, but is partially responsible for bringing the runner home. That's a ghost RBI.

Related to productive outs, but not quite the same thing. Regardless, here's the National League rankings of so called "Ghost RBI's", by team:


Florida 78

Atlanta 71

LAD 70

Houston 68

Wash DC 68

Chicago 67

Milw 67

Colorado 64

--League Median 63.5--

Cincy 63

NY Mets 63

--League Mean 61.3--

San Fran 61

San Diego 55

St Louis 54

Philly 52

Pittsburgh 45

Arizona 35

As even a typical American sports enthusiast can probably now discern, Arizona hitters do little to assist their batting brethren. They also rank MLB last in productive outs.

Take a tip from Jamaal. Cooperation and sacrifice are critical to acheiving everything from mundane to earthshattering, heavenly goals. We're not trying to re-establish a caliphate here. For the love of Allah, just move the man over once in a while!

24 March 2010

Hit The Ground / Running

0.95
1.02
1.06
1.63

What is this progression? The telescopic length of my staff (in metres), while reviewing your quintessential American drama? Or perhaps the number of seconds four self described "moderates" can attend to Glenn Beck before onset of migraine induced nausea?

No, no. These are obligatory American "jokes", to start off with, as in the style of Jon Stewart and The Hardball Times. Now I will become serious, as they do, to great effect. The enigmatic numbers are GO/AO ratios, which as reasonably schooled Americans agree, represent the ratio of ground ball outs versus outs in the air, for either a team or individual. In this instance, the progression represents Diamondback team ratios for 2007, 2008, 2009 - and finally, for spring ball 2010.

The 0.95 figure from 2007 was the lowest such ratio in the National League. Only veteran wormburner Orlando Hudson posted an individual ratio greater than one, as most everyone else got under the ball - and the squad managed just 4.4 runs per game.

In 2008 (4.44 rpg), Hudson was again the only regular above 1.oo, but younger players gradually approached that figure, raising the team GO/AO to 1.02 - still second lowest in the NL. In 2009 (4.44 rpg), Hudson was gone, but the team ratio again rose slightly - to 1.06 - as three regulars broke the 1.oo barrier:

Gerardo Parra 1.93
Miguel Montero 1.23
Justin Upton 1.23

Once again, that 1.06 team figure represented the second lowest GO/AO ratio in the NL. Finally, in this year's Cactus exhibitions, through last weekend, Arizona had tallied a robust six runs per game and also saw a dramatic GO/AO increase to 1.63! Since then, the offense has stalled and the GO/AO has likewise plummeted. If nothing else, there appears to be a direct correlation between runs and GO/AO for this Diamondback collective.

I emphasize this collective, because it's unclear - indeed untrue - that teams with alot of fly ball outs automatically dont score runs. The 2009 Phillies, for example, led the league in runs and hit a higher % of air outs than anyone. But over the past few seasons, Arizona's core of players have established a rather tenacious and ongoing correlation between popping up and not scoring a whole lot of runs.

29 September 2009

Sutton Speaks!



For those who dont get enough of Daron Sutton, Jim from AZ Snakepit dutifully taped a lengthy interview with the Dbacks' televangelist. Jim is such a dear friend and admired colleague of Diamondhacks, I've decided to share my thoughts on the interview somewhere other than at Jim's website, for fear of reprisals.

Actually, it's a good interview, in that Daron elaborates quite a bit, even when he's full of crap, which isnt too terribly often. I suggest you read it, otherwise my critique will make even less sense than usual.

*************

Daron says he aims to talk to "all the fans". I appreciate the pressing commercial need to target and engage so-called casual viewers, but the twitterish urgency with which FSNAZ steers away from games, often leaves baseball fans cold. Switching to silly or off-topic or feature mode in a blowout is one thing, but FSNAZ effectively abandons games that are 3-0 or 4-1 in the fifth, as if such games couldnt possibly entertain people.

By "returning" to games only if the Dbacks rally, Daron and crew condition viewers to suddenly react to results, without truly internalizing baseball's ebb and flow, the frequent failure inherent in the game, or the underlying perserverance instrumental to success. This is exactly what Derrick Hall complains about with fans, that they dont understand the game's travails, yet the irony is Hall's aggressive insistence to position his team in a superficially favorable light, contributes to (some might even say "drives") this very lack of fan understanding, perserverance and soul.

Neither is Sutton focused on baseball fans when he gushingly indulges Todd Walsh's smirking portfolio of off topic, cryptic asides. Walsh is about my age and we have similar tastes in music, but his rambling concert remembrances are utterly out of place in a baseball broadcast. Unless it's all about amusement, and not baseball, in which case I vote for less Daron and Todd, and more optical illusions and porn.

I liked how Daron volunteered young players are trying to re-establish the integrity of the sport. There's no glib assumption that the games he calls are clean, and I think that's refreshingly honest and accurate.

Regarding attendance, Sutton disparages Arizona as a 'baby fan base' that needs time, perhaps a generation, to establish itself.



Daron: I came from a place in Milwaukee where they're drawing three million fans...



Milwaukee never drew anywhere near 3M when Daron was there, and they're not drawing 3M today because they're suddenly a better, or older, fan base than Phoenix. They're drawing 3M now because they finally got rid of Daron and Derrick's beloved mentors ( the Seligs, who whined their small market, revenue-sharing way to four winning seasons in twenty lucrative years) in favor of a young, dynamic owner with customer driven priorities. Attanasio's already improved on field performance and star appeal, and less famously restructured value propositions at Miller Park when he arrived (2005). After Selig, many Milwaukeans sensed they were getting in on something better and within a couple years, bought in. Attendance has soared, in what the Seligs invariably portrayed as a disadvantaged small market.

Much the opposite in Phoenix, where Kendrick and Moorad carpetbagged a popular franchise founder, and assumed good will magically transferred to them with title. On the volatile heels of 2004, they astonishingly jacked single game prices in 2005, and again in 2006 - and raised some season rates as well. That, combined with an early litany of crass public relations missteps and baseball ops errors, suppress attendance to this day. So, Daron, forgive me as I suppress a snicker, listening to you educate Phoenicians about our not ready for prime time 'baby fan base' - when we toddlers averaged 3M fans (2.95) over seven consecutive years before you even got here.


My daughters go to school with what will be the real Diamondbacks' fans.


Again. Blech. Sounds like a Jim McLennan or Derrick Hall talking point. Can anyone imagine Colangelo saying that? Can these jokers possibly dream up more excuses to distract from their self-inflicted disconnect with this market? Gee, maybe Arizona's too hot to draw fans. Or we're too close to California. The upper deck's too big and doesnt convey the right atmosphere. The fans arent educated enough and dont understand 'the realities of baseball'. Dont laugh - they've actually floated the last two with a vengeance.

Attendance stinks, ultimately, because ownership stinks - at least in the eyes of fans. Just like it used to be in Milwaukee. Fans dont have confidence in owners or franchise direction, or derive sufficient values at the park. In Phoenix, a dozen years of hard and soft data, across winning and losing seasons under both regimes, reflect stark distinctions in public opinion about comparative owners.



In other news, Sut thinks the Dbacks need a veteran presence, perhaps two - one for the bench and one in the pen. Coming from an insider with some pulse for the clubhouse, I think it's troubling that's the first "need" Daron blurted out, and may suggest the players enjoy less credible leadership than is generally let on.

Gracie's brash insights seem more along the lines of the drunken uncle at Thanksgiving who rails about the government. The government is, in all likelihood, too big, but you're apt to hear a more elegant case made at the local transmission shop. When Grace talks defense, however, I'm all ears. He knows a thing or two about that. Despite good team range, the Diamondbacks defense visibly broke, contrary to volatile metrics contriving Stephen Drew and Montero saved more runs than Tulowitzki and Yadier Molina. As Grace might say, with the Diamondbacks last in the league in double plays, and first in 'wild pitches', how the f*ck can you take that $&!+% seriously?

27 April 2008

Huffing & Puffing



As desert cream spurts to the top of the majors, ordinary Diamondback fans are puffing out our chests. No team inspires - nor deserves - this blindingly white "cream-puff" support more than our first place Dbacks. Hello. My name is F. Ron Trunner and I've been a crossover Dbacks fan since 1987. I wanna thank Diamondhacks for this opportunity to iron a few things out. I dont care to ruffle anyone's sense, or sensibilities, and am speaking strictly off the cuff.

April's stiffest challenge (besides Doug Davis's sensationalized and routinely treatable thyroid cancer) was our unforgettable showdown with those international darlings, the Los Angeles Dodgers - a fierce rival who've won nearly half their games. If luck holds out, this riveting caliber of nearly average competition could even invade "downtown" Phoenix a second time, perhaps as early as May! If that ever does happen again, you wont find me at home bleaching my whites. I'll be sitting amongst them instead - at Bank Wan Ballpark.

Traditional know-it-alls probably expect the Dbacks to host a .500 team every single month of the season, but that's one reason I moved to Arizona - to escape those starchy East Coast expectations. Why, Bank One Ballpark proudly hosted a visiting .500 club only six months ago. Seems like yesterday, really.

If you wanna rag on a team for playing softies, look at the Cardinals. Not them. The Arizona Cardinals, who havent played a .500 strength of schedule (SOS) since 2005! That's what I call a bunch of losers. Some may call attention to the fact the Diamondbacks havent tackled a .500+ strength of schedule (SOS) since 2002, but I think it's fair to say those people are losers as well.





Now excuse me, while I air dry my gossamer man blouse in the Arizona sunshine, and daydream of baseball's greatest team. Their championship season resumes this evening, versus Sampson and the Houston Astros (12-14), followed, presumably, by a very underrated Delilah.

-- F. Ron Trunner